Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.7% | 61.3% | +2.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +2 (85-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 35 | 5-19 | 1-7 | 10-11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 4 | - |
| K. Miller | 33 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 32 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 8 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 14 | - |
| B. Snell | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Lacy | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Smith | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Christensen | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Holdsclaw | 28 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| M. Page | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| L. Leslie | 24 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 8 | - |
| T. Johnson | 22 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| M. Mabika | 18 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| T. Moore | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| C. Thomas | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| L. Willis | 15 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| D. Lewis | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Moore | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| E. Ndongue | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter