Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.8% | 88.2% | +11.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +3 (81-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Augustus | 38 | 9-22 | 0-7 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 8 | - |
| T. Williams-Jeter | 30 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Abrosimova | 23 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| V. Hayden-Johnson | 22 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| A. Jacobs | 22 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Lewis | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Duffy | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Williams-Strong | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 33 | 5-14 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 32 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 32 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| K. Miller | 29 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 28 | 4-16 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Lacy | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Snell | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Smith | 10 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter