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2006-06-25

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 38.6% 61.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 47.3% 52.7% - โœ“
Margin 55.8% 44.2% -1.3 โœ— (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 62.9% 37.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 63.0% 37.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 50.3% 49.7% - โœ—

Actual: Washington Mystics +7 (87-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Katie Douglas * 34 3-9 2-6 2-2 1 4 2 0 3 10 5 -
Taj McWilliams-Franklin * 32 7-14 0-1 1-2 11 3 2 1 5 15 13 -
Nykesha Sales * 31 5-11 2-6 3-4 3 4 0 2 0 15 13 -
Lindsay Whalen * 29 2-7 0-4 2-2 1 6 1 0 1 6 6 -
Margo Dydek * 18 3-8 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 6 1 -
Asjha Jones 23 6-8 1-1 2-2 5 2 0 0 1 15 13 -
Erin Phillips 10 2-4 1-3 1-1 2 1 1 0 0 6 6 -
Megan Mahoney 7 0-1 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Laura Summerton 6 1-2 0-1 0-1 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Le'coe Willingham 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chasity Melvin * 35 11-17 0-1 3-4 10 5 0 1 3 25 21 -
Alana Beard * 35 6-15 0-0 3-4 7 2 3 0 0 15 12 -
Nikki Teasley * 34 7-13 2-5 0-1 2 5 0 0 7 16 3 -
Nakia Sanford * 30 4-8 0-0 2-5 9 0 1 0 2 10 10 -
Crystal Robinson * 27 2-3 1-2 3-3 6 0 1 0 0 8 12 -
Coco Miller 16 3-4 0-0 2-2 0 3 2 0 2 8 7 -
Latasha Byears 14 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 1 -
Laurie Koehn 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 4 -

* = starter