Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Sky | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.2% | 81.8% | +8.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +13 (90-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Jia Perkins * | 26 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Amanda Lassiter * | 26 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Brooke Wyckoff * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Stacey Lovelace * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Chelsea Newton | 25 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Bernadette Ngoyisa | 18 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Deanna Jackson | 16 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Elaine Powell | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Liz Moeggenberg | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamila Vodichkova * | 31 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 30 | 6-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 29 | 7-15 | 6-11 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Kelly Miller * | 20 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jennifer Derevjanik | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Belinda Snell | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Crystal Smith | 7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Bridget Pettis | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sandora Irvin | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter