Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.9 | ✗ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -10 (73-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Whitmore | 33 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 21 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 31 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| A. DeForge | 30 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Catchings | 30 | 5-15 | 2-4 | 8-9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 30 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| T. White | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| L. Frohlich | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Atkinson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| O. Scott | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 37 | 7-18 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 10 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 33 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 31 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Lacy | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| K. Miller | 15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| C. Smith | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Irvin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter