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Portland Pilots 68
@
Santa Clara Broncos 72
2006-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 7.6% 92.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 27.6% 72.4% - ✓
Margin 19.0% 81.0% +8.0 ✓ (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 38.5% 61.5% - ✓
Efficiency 88.7% 11.3% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 28.6% 71.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 28.5% 71.5% - ✓

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +4 (72-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Jeter 38 7-16 2-7 10-10 4 2 2 0 4 26 14 -
D. Wilson 37 6-10 1-2 0-2 6 3 1 0 2 13 11 -
D. Cooper 29 2-10 1-3 5-6 2 3 1 0 4 10 2 -
A. Tiefenthaler 24 2-6 1-1 0-1 4 0 0 1 0 5 4 -
B. Sullivan 23 2-5 2-2 0-0 0 2 0 5 2 6 6 -
K. Field 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 0 5 -
J. Jones 16 1-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 0 2 5 -
J. Dominguez 14 2-6 2-5 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 6 4 -
M. Carter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Angley 35 4-9 1-4 8-8 4 5 0 0 3 17 14 -
T. Niesen 33 7-12 1-1 4-7 8 1 4 1 1 19 20 -
S. Denison 32 4-5 0-0 2-2 6 3 1 0 5 10 10 -
M. Henke 30 3-9 1-2 4-5 4 3 1 0 3 11 7 -
C. Johnson 27 0-4 0-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
D. Daniel 12 0-2 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Bryant 12 2-4 0-0 4-4 6 0 0 0 1 8 9 -
B. Rohe 10 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 1 3 -
J. Kaempf 9 1-2 1-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

* = starter