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Phoenix Mercury 87
@
Seattle Storm 80
2006-06-21

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 54.3% 45.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 47.5% 52.5% - ✗
Margin 38.8% 61.2% +2.5 ✗ (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% - ✗

Actual: Seattle Storm -7 (80-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Taurasi 34 8-19 6-10 4-8 1 2 4 2 6 26 10 -
C. Pondexter 34 10-17 3-5 4-5 6 4 2 0 0 27 22 -
K. Vodichkova 23 1-7 0-0 3-4 8 1 1 1 3 5 6 -
J. Lacy 23 3-5 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 0 0 8 9 -
K. Rasmussen 22 1-1 0-0 2-2 5 4 0 0 0 4 12 -
J. Derevjanik 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 4 6 -
K. Miller 17 1-6 1-5 3-4 2 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
C. Smith 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
B. Snell 5 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
S. Irvin 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Bird 30 2-9 0-5 4-4 4 8 3 0 0 8 14 -
L. Jackson 30 9-20 1-4 9-11 14 4 0 3 1 28 28 -
J. Burse 27 8-13 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 1 1 19 11 -
B. Lennox 23 5-12 2-7 2-2 5 4 0 0 3 14 8 -
B. Turner 21 2-6 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 5 3 -
I. Castro 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 0 -
T. Johnson 15 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 2 4 5 -
S. Gortman 14 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
T. Wright 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
E. Lawson-Wade 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter