Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Niagara Purple Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | +1.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Niagara Purple Eagles +7 (84-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Maxwell | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| T. Todd | 31 | 9-15 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 9 | - |
| A. Carter | 27 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Han | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Oglesby | 22 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| H. Allen | 20 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Bell | 19 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. Van Schaick | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| G. Middleton | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Reedal | 5 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brown | 39 | 8-22 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 16 | - |
| J. Mathis | 38 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 28 | - |
| L. Miles | 37 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 3-6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| S. Hodge | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J.R Duffey | 33 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| B. Durosier | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| G. Noel | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter