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2006-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 28.1% 71.9% -
Bradley-Terry 16.0% 84.0% -
Margin 7.8% 92.2% +13.6 (20.6 off)
Pythagorean 49.4% 50.6% -
Efficiency 39.8% 60.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.6% 38.4% -
Log Adjusted 61.7% 38.3% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays -7 (47-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Bennett 36 6-13 2-5 2-3 5 5 2 0 3 16 12 -
D. Ruffin 34 1-9 1-5 0-0 2 4 1 0 3 3 -2 -
M. Sommerville 31 3-11 1-6 0-0 9 0 0 0 1 7 4 -
L. Wright 29 6-12 0-1 6-8 7 0 1 0 1 18 13 -
W. Franklin 27 0-5 0-2 3-4 4 3 1 0 2 3 4 -
P. O'Bryant 22 3-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 1 6 8 -
J.J. Tauai 15 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 2 0 1 1 3 -
Z. Andrews 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
D. Adams 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Mathies 35 2-13 0-4 6-6 6 0 3 0 2 10 4 -
A. Tolliver 34 5-8 2-4 4-4 12 1 2 1 5 16 19 -
N. Porter 32 3-7 0-0 1-1 6 2 2 0 3 7 7 -
D. Watts 27 2-6 0-2 2-4 7 1 1 0 1 6 8 -
P. Hibma 24 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 2 2 -
J. Motz 17 0-5 0-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -6 -
D. Bishop 16 2-5 0-2 1-1 2 1 0 0 2 5 1 -
J. Day 15 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter