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2006-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
ELO 22.3% 77.7% -
Bradley-Terry 19.6% 80.4% -
Margin 15.3% 84.7% +9.4 (16.6 off)
Pythagorean 39.0% 61.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +26 (82-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
T. Granberry 0 4-16 1-5 3-4 3 12 -1
S. Williams 0 1-6 - - 6 2 2
T. Sardin 0 3-12 -1 2-2 8 8 4
S. Zoll 0 4-9 1-3 4-4 3 13 7
B. McGuire 0 -3 -1 - 1 -2

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
E. Larkins 0 2-6 -1 3-4 10 7 11
C. Little 0 6-12 2-3 3-4 10 17 15
L. Atkinson 0 7-14 -2 1-3 6 15 7
I. Latta 0 3-11 2-6 9-11 3 17 9
J. Sell 0 -1 -1 - 4 3

* = starter