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2006-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Lafayette Leopards American University Eagles Spread Result
Elo 25.6% 74.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.0% 63.0% - โœ“
Margin 24.3% 75.7% +6.2 โœ“ (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 31.5% 68.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 31.6% 68.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.1% 62.9% - โœ“

Actual: American University Eagles +13 (75-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Lafayette Leopards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Abdullah 30 3-6 3-5 0-0 2 5 1 0 2 9 9 -
N. Williams 28 6-11 0-0 2-3 5 2 1 1 1 14 11 -
A. Brown 28 2-9 2-6 0-1 4 4 1 0 2 6 4 -
C. Robertson-Warren 28 3-8 1-5 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 7 2 -
P. Cummins 22 6-10 4-8 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 16 8 -
T. Detmer 20 0-4 0-0 2-4 2 1 2 1 1 2 3 -
E. Schmidt 20 1-5 0-0 1-3 5 1 1 0 2 3 3 -
M. Betley 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
K. Kenny 9 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 3 6 -
D. Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mercer 36 2-5 1-2 0-2 6 5 1 0 0 5 12 -
A. Ingram 35 5-10 1-6 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 11 5 -
L. Lekavicius 25 6-7 1-1 5-8 3 2 1 0 0 18 17 -
B. Billbe 21 4-7 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 1 4 8 0 -
J. Nichols 19 1-4 0-0 7-9 7 0 0 0 1 9 11 -
B. Harris 16 5-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 10 10 -
A. Eitutavicius 14 1-3 0-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
B. Gilmore 13 2-3 0-1 0-1 1 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
G. Carr 11 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 6 -
T. Lay 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter