Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.0% | 29.0% | -4.9 | ✗ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +12 (94-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 32 | 7-22 | 3-11 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 1 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 31 | 7-18 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 7 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| J. Lacy | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 22 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| C. Smith | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Miller | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Christensen | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. Pettis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Snell | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jacobs | 33 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 6 | - |
| S. Augustus | 32 | 11-18 | 2-3 | 8-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 20 | - |
| T. Williams-Jeter | 30 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 29 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| K. Mann | 21 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Abrosimova | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Williams-Strong | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| T. Lewis | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Duffy | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter