Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.8% | 50.2% | +0.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +5 (91-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Sales | 35 | 7-19 | 2-8 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 7 | - |
| K. Douglas | 34 | 8-16 | 5-8 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 15 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 33 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| L. Whalen | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Jones | 24 | 4-14 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| M. Dydek | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Mahoney | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| E. Phillips | 8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| L. Willingham | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 37 | 10-15 | 5-6 | 10-11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 26 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 36 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 27 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 25 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| J. Lacy | 14 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| C. Smith | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Pettis | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Christensen | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter