Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | +3.3 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +14 (98-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi | 33 | 12-21 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 17 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 31 | 7-19 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 29 | 3-14 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| C. Smith | 20 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Lacy | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Snell | 11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| B. Pettis | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Irvin | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Strother | 3 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Leslie | 30 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 22 | - |
| C. Holdsclaw | 27 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - |
| T. Johnson | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Thomas | 25 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| M. Page | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| J. Moore | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Moore | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Mabika | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Lewis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| E. Ndongue | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Willis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
* = starter