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Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs 64
@
East Tennessee State Buccaneers 63
2006-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs East Tennessee State Buccaneers Spread Result
Elo 50.7% 49.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 54.4% 45.6% - ✓
Margin 23.2% 76.8% +6.6 ✗ (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 35.8% 64.2% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 28.7% 71.3% - ✗
Log Adjusted 28.6% 71.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 36.1% 63.9% - ✗

Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers -1 (63-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Jennings 39 4-9 2-5 0-0 4 3 1 0 3 10 6 -
S. Conn 39 7-13 0-1 6-8 7 2 1 3 4 20 16 -
T.J. McCullough 36 2-10 0-2 1-2 3 7 2 0 2 5 5 -
B. Bender 35 6-11 2-6 0-0 6 1 0 0 3 14 7 -
C. Gash 34 5-10 3-5 2-2 5 3 1 0 5 15 9 -
M. Jones 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 0 -1 -
B. Noonan 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
T. Siddle 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. McPhee 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith 40 8-17 0-1 5-9 5 5 4 0 6 21 12 -
B. Rhoda 39 3-7 1-2 2-2 4 4 3 0 5 9 8 -
B. Nuckles 36 5-9 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 1 1 12 10 -
D. Sneed 25 6-11 0-0 1-4 8 0 0 1 2 13 9 -
C. Pigram 21 2-7 0-3 0-0 0 2 2 0 1 4 0 -
T. Strong 20 1-4 0-2 0-0 7 0 2 0 0 2 7 -
E. Thomas 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
A. Reed 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter