Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.1% | 60.9% | +2.5 | ✗ (11.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.5% | 75.5% | +6.2 | ✗ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs -9 (63-72). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Moore | 35 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| T. Schnitker | 35 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Moss | 32 | 10-15 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 17 | - |
| T. Wurtz | 30 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| J. Tunnell | 28 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Arnold | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| E. Gray | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Evans | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Yelovich | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Booe | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Trudeau | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Stewart | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 16 | - |
| C. Brooks | 23 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| A. Calvin | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| S. Tracy | 21 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C. Bryant | 19 | 2-11 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -4 | - |
| N. Grant | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Josiah Cox | 16 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| B. Heemskerk | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Houston | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| N. Works | 11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Emmenecker | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Baryenbruch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter