Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.5% | 45.5% | -1.0 | ✗ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +7 (52-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Plank | 32 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | - |
| G. Dilligard | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| R. Fortes | 28 | 5-15 | 2-10 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | - |
| D. Ford | 28 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| L. Dyer | 26 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Vandello | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Ford | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| N. Onyeuku | 15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Strickland | 36 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| K. Anslinger | 36 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Holsinger | 33 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| M. Webster | 33 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Ely | 30 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| A. Stalbergs | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Petty | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Blakey | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Phifer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter