Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Shock | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.5% | 51.5% | +0.3 | ✓ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +14 (93-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Smith | 37 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Ford | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 28 | - |
| D. Nolan | 27 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| R. Riley | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| S. Cash | 24 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | - |
| K. Holland-Corn | 18 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| P. Pierson | 16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| A. Williams | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| K. Braxton | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Batteast | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Derevjanik | 32 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 31 | 8-21 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 30 | 10-15 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 18 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 30 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 25 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| J. Lacy | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Snell | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Smith | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| B. Pettis | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter