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2006-06-07

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 75.6% 24.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 80.2% 19.8% - โœ“
Margin 86.9% 13.1% -10.4 โœ“ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 74.6% 25.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 91.3% 8.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 91.4% 8.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 72.1% 27.9% - โœ“

Actual: New York Liberty -15 (60-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. McWilliams-Franklin 33 7-11 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 2 3 16 12 -
N. Sales 32 5-10 1-2 0-0 4 4 0 0 4 11 5 -
K. Douglas 30 5-8 1-3 6-8 1 1 3 1 2 17 13 -
L. Whalen 25 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 3 4 4 -
M. Dydek 24 4-9 0-0 2-2 4 2 1 5 4 10 9 -
A. Jones 15 3-6 0-0 3-3 1 2 0 0 1 9 5 -
E. Phillips 15 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 4 1 0 2 3 7 -
M. Mahoney 9 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 3 6 -
L. Summerton 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 1 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Kraayeveld 26 3-7 2-4 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 10 7 -
L. Moore 25 0-5 0-1 0-0 8 3 5 1 2 0 10 -
S. Baker 24 5-11 1-2 2-3 4 2 3 0 6 13 5 -
S. Christon 24 3-9 2-6 0-0 1 2 1 1 2 8 2 -
B. Hammon 24 3-8 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 6 0 -
K. Schumacher 23 6-7 1-1 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 14 11 -
B. Farris 20 3-11 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 3 6 -2 -
A. Battle 15 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 3 0 -
K. Brown 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. N'Garsanet 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter