Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.0% | 72.0% | +5.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +14 (90-76). Ratings: 2007 season-end ratings.
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Powell * | 29 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 27 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 25 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Erin Perperoglou | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba | 16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kristin Haynie | 12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Kim Smith | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brittany Wilkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi * | 34 | 10-18 | 2-8 | 8-10 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 24 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 34 | 13-23 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 12 | - |
| Kamila Vodichkova * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen * | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Jennifer Derevjanik * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Crystal Smith | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Bridget Pettis | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Belinda Snell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ann Strother | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter