Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.6% | 53.4% | +0.7 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +14 (90-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Powell | 29 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Y. Griffith | 26 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| R. Brunson | 25 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Penicheiro | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| E. Buescher | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Lawson | 18 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| H. Maiga-Ba | 16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| S. Dorrell | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Haynie | 12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| K. Smith | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 35 | 13-23 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 12 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 34 | 10-18 | 2-8 | 8-10 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 24 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Lacy | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Smith | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| B. Snell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Pettis | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter