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2006-06-03

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Shock Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 69.3% 30.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 64.0% 36.0% - โœ—
Margin 48.6% 51.4% +0.3 โœ“ (23.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 65.7% 34.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 65.7% 34.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 49.9% 50.1% - โœ“

Actual: Washington Mystics +24 (92-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Cash * 34 3-8 0-1 9-9 4 3 1 0 1 15 14 -
K. Smith * 30 2-8 2-5 4-4 5 3 0 0 6 10 4 -
D. Nolan * 28 5-13 2-4 2-2 4 1 0 0 4 14 2 -
J. Batteast * 17 1-6 0-3 1-2 2 0 1 1 0 3 1 -
R. Riley * 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -
P. Pierson 22 4-12 0-0 5-7 5 1 0 1 1 13 7 -
K. Braxton 13 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 -1 -
K. Holland-Corn 11 1-6 0-4 0-0 1 1 5 0 2 2 1 -
A. Williams 10 1-5 0-0 1-1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -3 -
I. Osipova 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Beard * 30 4-11 3-5 7-8 7 3 3 0 3 18 17 -
C. Melvin * 27 3-5 0-0 7-8 5 2 1 0 5 13 11 -
D. Milton-Jones * 26 8-13 2-3 3-5 6 0 0 0 1 21 13 -
N. Teasley * 24 5-8 1-3 0-0 2 5 2 0 1 11 11 -
C. Robinson * 21 3-4 2-3 3-3 4 3 0 0 1 11 13 -
N. Sanford 18 1-2 0-0 2-4 6 1 0 0 5 4 4 -
N. Blue 13 1-4 0-1 1-2 3 5 2 0 2 3 7 -
L. Byears 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 2 -1 -
C. Miller 9 3-4 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 7 3 -
T. James 5 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
L. Koehn 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter