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2006-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Tennessee Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 45.1% 54.9% -
Bradley-Terry 51.3% 48.7% -
Margin 42.5% 57.5% +1.7 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 39.2% 60.8% -
Efficiency 31.6% 68.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.4% 74.6% -
Log Adjusted 25.3% 74.7% -

Actual: Tennessee Volunteers -2 (78-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Sparks * 39 2-8 2-6 0-0 4 5 0 0 2 6 5 -
R. Morris * 23 8-9 0-0 6-10 9 0 1 2 1 22 24 -
B. Stockton * 22 2-6 2-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 6 5 -
B. Perry * 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
L. Obrzut * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Moss 35 3-7 1-3 2-3 4 2 3 0 4 9 7 -
R. Rondo 27 8-9 0-0 0-0 2 8 1 1 4 16 15 -
J. Crawford 20 3-5 3-5 2-3 2 1 0 0 2 11 7 -
R. Sims 15 1-2 0-0 3-3 3 0 0 0 2 5 4 -
S. Thomas 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lofton * 33 5-9 3-7 2-2 1 2 2 0 0 15 11 -
A. Patterson * 30 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 1 3 4 9 -
M. Wingate * 27 5-9 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 0 3 10 3 -
D. Bradshaw * 26 3-9 0-3 1-2 5 4 0 0 2 7 5 -
C.J. Watson 32 5-15 3-7 2-3 1 5 2 0 3 15 5 -
J. Smith 24 6-7 3-4 0-1 1 1 2 1 1 15 12 -
S. Asumnu 17 3-7 0-0 0-1 2 1 2 0 0 6 4 -
J. Howell 8 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
R. Childress 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter