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2006-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish Providence Friars Spread Result
Elo 34.9% 65.1% -
Bradley-Terry 67.8% 32.2% -
Margin 72.9% 27.1% -5.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 63.9% 36.1% -
Efficiency 86.3% 13.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.0% 28.0% -
Log Adjusted 72.0% 28.0% -

Actual: Providence Friars -7 (75-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Quinn 40 6-12 3-5 4-4 3 4 1 0 2 19 13 -
R. Carter 35 5-8 2-5 9-11 8 0 4 0 4 21 21 -
T. Francis 33 7-14 0-0 4-4 12 4 0 1 4 18 17 -
K. McAlarney 29 3-4 3-4 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 11 10 -
C. Falls 27 2-7 1-5 1-2 0 1 1 1 2 6 0 -
R. Kurz 18 2-6 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 0 4 7 -
R. Cornett 18 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 1 1 3 5 -

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McGrath 40 3-13 3-9 0-0 2 5 2 0 2 9 3 -
S. Curry 38 10-21 3-7 2-2 3 2 2 1 1 25 11 -
H. Hill 28 5-7 0-0 2-5 5 1 0 2 1 12 12 -
C. Burch 27 3-5 3-4 2-2 4 2 1 1 1 11 13 -
G. McDermott 24 2-6 0-0 1-2 5 2 1 0 4 5 3 -
W. Efejuku 22 4-9 2-2 0-1 4 0 1 0 1 10 5 -
J. Kale 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
R. Hanke 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 1 1 -
R. Cross 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter