Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Illinois Huskies | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.5% | 39.5% | -2.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -5 (73-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Illinois Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Peterson | 31 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 8-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - |
| A. Maestranzi | 30 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Z. Pancratz | 29 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| C. Sims | 28 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Player #16067 | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| C. Reichel | 22 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Player #16064 | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Player #8635 | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Q. Lipkins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Acker | 36 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Peyton | 28 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Player #16074 | 27 | 7-18 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - |
| A. Newell | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Perryman | 18 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Bass | 17 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| C. Ames | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| P. Nelson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Kent | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Adler | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Lampley | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter