Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +10 (97-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lacy | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Snell | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Strother | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Stevenson | 3 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 2 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| B. Pettis | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Wright | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Burse | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| B. Lennox | 2 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| S. Gortman | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| I. Castro | 1 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
* = starter