🐻⬇️🏀

New York Liberty 63
@
Detroit Shock 64
2006-06-01

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Detroit Shock Spread Result
Elo 13.8% 86.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 13.6% 86.4% - ✓
Margin 5.4% 94.6% +15.7 ✓ (14.7 off)
Pythagorean 21.3% 78.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 3.6% 96.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 3.5% 96.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 20.2% 79.8% - ✓

Actual: Detroit Shock +1 (64-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Battle 29 6-14 3-6 3-3 6 1 0 0 0 18 11 -
B. Hammon 28 3-14 0-6 1-1 4 3 1 0 4 7 -3 -
S. Baker 26 7-11 0-1 4-4 2 1 1 0 1 18 10 -
K. Schumacher 25 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 4 0 0 -
C. Kraayeveld 24 1-3 0-1 0-0 7 0 2 0 1 2 7 -
L. Moore 24 1-5 1-2 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 3 5 -
B. Farris 22 4-5 0-0 5-6 7 1 1 0 1 13 16 -
S. Christon 7 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 -3 -
I. Tillis 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 1 -

Detroit Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Cash 38 6-12 0-1 8-10 12 4 1 2 1 20 26 -
K. Smith 35 2-9 1-4 4-4 1 2 2 0 2 9 3 -
D. Nolan 33 3-11 0-1 2-4 4 6 0 2 5 8 4 -
C. Ford 28 6-17 0-0 0-0 13 1 2 0 0 12 11 -
R. Riley 26 2-6 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 1 0 6 4 -
P. Pierson 10 3-5 0-0 3-3 3 0 1 0 1 9 7 -
K. Holland-Corn 9 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
K. Braxton 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 -1 -
J. Batteast 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter