Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern State Demons | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 17.3% | 82.7% | +8.6 | ✗ (13.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -5 (71-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Rogers | 25 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| C. Lee | 24 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| K. Jones | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Wallace | 20 | 1-8 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | - |
| C. Bargeman | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Forges | 17 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| B. Allen | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Spencer | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. Dyer | 15 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| M. Ross | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Bush | 33 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 17 | - |
| L. Burroughs | 32 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| C. Dotson | 29 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| C. Langhorne | 27 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Moseley | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Cook | 17 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Blanchard | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Rogers | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Rockett | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
* = starter