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Colorado State Rams 69
@
BYU Cougars 77
2006-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams BYU Cougars Spread Result
Elo 8.1% 91.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 24.9% 75.1% - ✓
Margin 14.4% 85.6% +9.8 ✓ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% - ✓
Efficiency 95.3% 4.7% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 34.7% 65.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 34.7% 65.3% - ✓

Actual: BYU Cougars +8 (77-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harrison 38 7-15 0-0 3-4 7 4 1 1 3 17 12 -
C. Lewis 33 4-6 1-1 4-4 5 4 2 0 6 13 12 -
J. Smith 31 5-15 0-1 1-2 5 2 2 1 3 11 3 -
S. Creason 24 5-6 0-0 1-1 3 0 1 3 3 11 9 -
F. Robinson 23 1-6 0-1 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 2 0 -
A. Patterson 19 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 3 3 -
S. Gilling 18 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 8 7 -
M. Morris 9 0-1 0-1 1-2 3 3 0 0 0 1 6 -
S. Morris 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 3 1 -

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Reichner 32 4-7 2-3 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 12 7 -
R. Broadus 31 3-8 3-5 4-5 2 4 4 0 5 13 10 -
F. Malaman 31 4-9 1-3 2-2 4 2 4 1 2 11 11 -
T. Plaisted 29 2-5 0-0 6-10 5 1 0 0 3 10 8 -
J. Balderson 23 4-9 2-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 12 7 -
K. Young 18 4-11 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 1 8 5 -
A. Ainge 9 2-2 2-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 6 -
L. Cummard 8 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
D. Dawes 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter