Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.3% | 65.7% | +3.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +8 (47-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Terry | 36 | 3-17 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -3 | - |
| W. Adams | 36 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. Amundson | 31 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| D. Villepigue | 29 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Morgan | 23 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Petrimoulx | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| W. White | 16 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Darger | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Essengue | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Chiotti | 36 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| M. Walters | 36 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| J. Hart | 32 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| J. Box | 30 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16 | - |
| K. Collins | 25 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| B. Harden | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Danridge | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| K. Walter | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Kersten | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Toppert | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Prentice | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Faris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter