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2006-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Marquette Golden Eagles Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 33.5% 66.5% -
Bradley-Terry 31.9% 68.1% -
Margin 19.4% 80.6% +7.8 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% -
Efficiency 18.5% 81.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.4% 45.6% -
Log Adjusted 54.4% 45.6% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +7 (67-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Novak 43 8-17 4-10 0-1 9 1 0 0 3 20 10 -
D. James 42 5-18 2-7 4-8 11 6 0 0 2 16 13 -
W. Matthews 32 3-10 1-3 3-4 4 0 1 0 0 10 5 -
J. McNeal 26 5-15 0-1 0-0 5 2 2 0 3 10 1 -
C. Grimm 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 0 7 -
D. Fitzgerald 21 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Chapman 20 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 -
O. Barro 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Laudermill 41 5-14 2-7 0-0 7 4 1 0 4 12 6 -
T. Dean 39 4-21 3-15 8-8 9 4 0 0 3 19 8 -
T. Williams 36 5-12 1-4 0-0 13 2 1 1 1 11 15 -
J. Palacios 35 4-13 2-6 1-4 10 2 1 1 1 11 11 -
C. Millard 23 2-3 1-2 0-2 8 0 0 1 0 5 11 -
T. Farley 22 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 6 0 3 9 -
A. McGee 18 2-5 2-5 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
B. Johnson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 -

* = starter