Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.4% | 65.6% | +3.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +10 (80-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Delk | 38 | 10-15 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 16 | - |
| R. Delk | 35 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Gordon | 34 | 7-19 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 2 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 30 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| B. Rimmer | 26 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Boler | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| W. Morgan | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| P. Stelmach | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Slater | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Payne | 37 | 9-18 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| J. Modica | 36 | 9-15 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 15 | - |
| E. Ferguson | 35 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. Hill | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| D. Townes | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Thomas | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| V. Hunter | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Jefferson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| S. McCurdy | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. McGowan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter