Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | +2.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -6 (65-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Augustine * | 39 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 23 | - |
| D. Brown * | 39 | 5-14 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| R. McBride * | 37 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| S. Pruitt * | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| B. Randle * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Smith | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| M. Arnold | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Frazier | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| W. Carter | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Boone * | 37 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| V. Grier * | 37 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| M. Hargrow * | 35 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| J. Stamper * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Z. Puchtel * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| S. Tollackson | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D. Coleman | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Tucker | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Abu-Shamala | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Saunders | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter