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2006-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Minnesota Golden Gophers Spread Result
Elo 85.2% 14.8% -
Bradley-Terry 46.2% 53.8% -
Margin 39.3% 60.7% +2.4 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 61.4% 38.6% -
Efficiency 93.1% 6.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.9% 14.1% -
Log Adjusted 86.0% 14.0% -

Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -6 (65-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Augustine * 39 6-9 0-0 4-8 10 7 1 0 2 16 23 -
D. Brown * 39 5-14 2-9 2-2 1 4 3 0 2 14 6 -
R. McBride * 37 5-10 2-5 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 12 7 -
S. Pruitt * 23 4-5 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 2 9 8 -
B. Randle * 18 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 1 0 4 6 -
J. Smith 21 2-3 1-2 2-3 0 6 0 0 0 7 10 -
M. Arnold 11 2-3 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 6 4 -
C. Frazier 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
W. Carter 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Adam Boone * 37 3-8 3-7 1-2 3 7 0 2 1 10 13 -
V. Grier * 37 6-13 0-0 7-9 6 2 1 0 2 19 13 -
M. Hargrow * 35 7-8 1-1 2-3 3 4 1 0 2 17 15 -
J. Stamper * 29 2-7 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 4 1 -
Z. Puchtel * 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 2 8 -
S. Tollackson 23 5-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 10 7 -
D. Coleman 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
R. Tucker 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Abu-Shamala 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Saunders 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter