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2006-02-27

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 6.0% 94.0% -
Bradley-Terry 0.5% 99.5% -
Margin 0.0% 100.0% +69.7 (66.7 off)
Pythagorean 33.6% 66.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.5% 92.5% -
Log Adjusted 7.4% 92.6% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +3 (75-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Surratt * 39 8-20 1-6 2-2 4 4 1 0 3 19 5 -
N. Pierce * 35 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 3 2 2 1 6 13 -
A. Wiggins Jr. * 31 6-11 1-2 0-2 7 4 2 1 1 13 15 -
J. Gumbs * 27 9-16 2-5 0-0 5 0 2 0 1 20 10 -
D. Cavic * 25 2-5 0-3 0-1 5 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
D. Shiller 27 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 3 3 5 -
V. Polakovic 10 1-5 1-3 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
D. Ingerson 4 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
J. Byrd 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.P. Batista * 38 7-12 0-0 3-5 11 3 0 3 2 17 20 -
E. Knight * 25 3-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 1 6 10 -
C. Floyd * 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
V. Neal * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Doudney * 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
A. Morrison 33 10-22 1-5 13-16 4 2 1 0 2 34 17 -
D. Raivio 28 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 0 0 -
S. Mallon 20 0-0 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 2 7 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes 18 3-3 3-3 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 9 8 -
J. Heytvelt 11 2-4 0-2 0-0 4 1 3 0 0 4 8 -
D. Pendergraft 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
L. Gurganious 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Pargo 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter