Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +13 (96-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Boykin Jr. | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| K. Golob | 27 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| J. Wilson | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | - |
| T. Bazy | 25 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| S. Sir | 20 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| K. Landry | 19 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
| M. Seckold | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| R. Van Patten | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| W. Hensley | 7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Green | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Refner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Strait | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| K. Criswell | 30 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| J. Hasquet | 26 | 12-15 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 20 | - |
| B. Ellis | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | - |
| S. Mayes | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| K. Sharp | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| V. Matthews | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -4 | - |
| M. Dlouhy | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Martin | 12 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -5 | - |
| M. Chavez | 8 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| A. Swift | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| G. Spurgetis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter