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2006-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento State Hornets Montana State Bobcats Spread Result
Elo 17.3% 82.7% -
Bradley-Terry 26.8% 73.2% -
Margin 19.8% 80.2% +7.7 (2.7 off)
Efficiency 38.1% 61.9% -

Actual: Montana State Bobcats +5 (75-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Freeman 33 0-6 0-4 0-0 8 6 2 0 3 0 7 -
L. Leath 30 9-20 3-10 2-2 2 0 2 0 0 23 7 -
C. Woods 27 6-9 1-4 1-4 3 0 3 1 1 14 11 -
A. Bausley 23 4-10 2-3 0-2 4 2 2 1 1 10 8 -
J. Harris 22 2-10 0-1 3-8 7 2 1 1 3 7 5 -
A. Perry 18 2-5 0-1 1-3 6 0 0 1 1 5 6 -
J. Williams 14 2-4 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 1 0 5 7 -
D. Roberts 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
H. Hargrave 8 0-1 0-1 4-5 2 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
J. Gilzene 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Lange 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Z. Beekman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jefferson 33 2-11 1-5 4-5 5 1 1 0 4 9 1 -
A. Beye 26 4-9 0-0 8-13 7 1 1 2 1 16 17 -
D. Edmonds 25 5-9 4-7 2-2 5 2 0 0 1 16 13 -
M. Moss 25 2-3 0-0 0-3 5 1 0 0 2 4 5 -
C. Durham 22 1-5 0-4 1-2 3 1 1 0 3 3 0 -
J. Wilson 22 4-6 1-2 2-2 1 4 2 0 1 11 11 -
L. Ball 17 1-4 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 3 5 -
T. Morris 14 4-6 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 1 1 10 10 -
T. Pratt 11 1-3 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
C. Durr 5 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 1 -

* = starter