Model Predictions
| Model | Iona Gaels | Manhattan Jaspers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | +1.5 | ✗ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Manhattan Jaspers -10 (64-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.