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2006-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Maryland Terrapins North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 16.3% 83.7% -
Bradley-Terry 39.3% 60.7% -
Margin 35.2% 64.8% +3.4 (20.6 off)
Efficiency 28.9% 71.1% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +24 (81-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Strawberry * 34 2-7 1-1 4-4 6 4 2 1 5 9 10 -
J. Gist * 31 2-7 0-0 3-4 7 2 1 2 3 7 9 -
N. Caner-Medley * 31 3-16 0-2 4-4 6 3 1 1 1 10 4 -
M. Jones * 27 4-14 1-6 2-2 6 2 1 2 3 11 5 -
E. Ibekwe * 22 4-9 0-0 4-6 5 0 0 1 0 12 9 -
S. Ledbetter 20 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 4 2 0 -
W. Bowers 17 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 3 1 2 0 -
C. Garrison 9 2-4 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 0 0 4 3 -
P. Brown 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
G. Chukura 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
D. Neal 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Noel * 36 5-10 0-3 2-2 7 5 3 0 2 12 15 -
T. Hansbrough * 27 8-18 0-0 5-8 7 1 2 0 2 21 11 -
B. Frasor * 25 2-8 2-4 0-0 3 4 3 1 1 6 8 -
W. Miller * 22 2-3 2-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 6 8 -
R. Terry * 20 2-9 2-3 1-2 7 2 1 0 3 7 5 -
M. Ginyard 18 4-8 1-1 3-4 2 2 2 0 1 12 9 -
D. Green 16 0-5 0-1 1-2 4 2 0 3 2 1 3 -
Q. Thomas 13 3-5 0-0 1-2 2 3 0 0 2 7 5 -
B. Sanders 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
M. Copeland 4 2-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 5 7 -
S. Wood 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Burke 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
W. Robinson 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Wilkins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter