Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Pioneers | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 18.8% | 81.2% | +8.0 | ✗ (21.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans -13 (50-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.