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2006-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Tennessee Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 33.5% 66.5% -
Bradley-Terry 33.8% 66.2% -
Margin 21.6% 78.4% +7.1 (11.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.3% 49.7% -
Efficiency 54.1% 45.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.4% 48.6% -
Log Adjusted 51.4% 48.6% -

Actual: Tennessee Volunteers -4 (69-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Payne * 36 4-12 1-4 0-0 5 9 1 1 3 9 10 -
J. Modica * 35 6-13 0-3 2-2 6 5 0 0 1 14 11 -
E. Ferguson * 34 4-11 3-7 1-2 4 5 0 0 3 12 7 -
C. Thomas * 27 4-8 0-0 3-3 6 0 0 0 1 11 8 -
S. Hill * 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 2 7 -
D. Townes 23 7-9 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 1 1 15 13 -
V. Hunter 16 4-8 0-0 2-3 7 0 0 1 0 10 10 -
D. Jefferson 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 1 1 0 7 -

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Patterson * 34 5-11 0-2 0-0 4 3 0 2 0 10 8 -
C. Lofton * 33 3-7 2-5 4-4 2 2 2 0 1 12 10 -
M. Wingate * 25 1-4 0-0 1-4 1 2 0 1 1 3 2 -
D. Bradshaw * 23 2-6 0-3 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 6 2 -
C.J. Watson 35 5-10 3-4 4-5 4 3 2 0 1 17 15 -
J. Smith 28 3-7 2-5 3-4 7 5 2 0 2 11 16 -
S. Asumnu 14 3-5 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 7 6 -
J. Howell 5 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
R. Childress 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter