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2006-02-25

Model Predictions

Model UT Arlington Mavericks SE Louisiana Lions Spread Result
Elo 18.9% 81.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.1% 66.9% - โœ“
Margin 33.5% 66.5% +3.8 โœ“ (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 44.3% 55.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.0% 58.0% - โœ“

Actual: SE Louisiana Lions +9 (71-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UT Arlington Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Howell 38 6-10 2-2 8-9 4 0 2 0 5 22 13 -
B. Dawkins 38 1-6 1-5 0-0 1 6 0 0 2 3 2 -
R. Epps 31 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 0 3 -
S. Thomas 30 8-13 0-0 5-7 9 1 0 0 4 21 14 -
K. Henderson 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 4 6 -
L. Posey 16 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 2 1 -
J. Griffin 13 3-4 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 3 6 2 -
Brycen Long 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
A. Vereen 6 0-1 0-1 2-4 4 1 0 0 2 2 4 -

SE Louisiana Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Bryant 34 3-12 1-5 6-8 0 2 1 0 1 13 3 -
C. Lee 33 4-9 1-3 8-9 5 4 0 0 1 17 16 -
R. Woods 30 8-17 0-0 5-9 11 1 4 0 2 21 18 -
Q. Green 20 0-8 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 -4 -
J. Polite 20 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 6 8 -
J. Walker 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 3 1 3 4 3 -
M. Cyprien 15 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 3 -
R. Cummings 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 3 0 1 -
D. Cohen 13 3-4 3-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 9 5 -
T. Woods 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter