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2006-02-25

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 72.4% 27.6% -
Bradley-Terry 7.4% 92.6% -
Margin 0.0% 100.0% +49.1 (51.1 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% -
Efficiency 13.9% 86.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.7% 29.3% -
Log Adjusted 70.8% 29.2% -

Actual: Portland Pilots -2 (72-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gumbs 42 6-9 1-1 2-4 5 2 3 0 0 15 16 -
A. Wiggins Jr. 41 9-14 0-1 6-9 8 3 1 2 4 24 20 -
N. Pierce 39 4-8 0-0 3-8 11 2 2 1 4 11 15 -
A. Surratt 33 2-10 0-4 0-0 4 4 0 0 4 4 -2 -
D. Shiller 31 2-4 1-3 2-2 3 4 0 0 4 7 6 -
D. Cavic 17 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 6 4 -
V. Polakovic 12 3-6 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 7 4 -
D. Ingerson 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Bell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Wilson 43 7-10 3-4 0-0 8 3 1 0 1 17 18 -
P. Jeter 40 4-20 1-8 6-8 3 2 0 0 2 15 -2 -
D. Cooper 37 3-14 0-5 14-14 1 3 3 0 2 20 11 -
J. Jones 36 2-4 0-0 2-4 11 1 4 2 2 6 18 -
A. Tiefenthaler 23 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 3 0 2 2 3 -
B. Sullivan 16 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
K. Field 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
J. Dominguez 12 1-3 0-0 3-5 2 1 1 0 2 5 4 -
B. McTear 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter