Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Peay Governors | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.3% | 48.7% | -0.3 | ✗ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles +12 (64-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.