Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 80.0% | 20.0% | -7.6 | ✗ (20.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +13 (68-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Amundson | 36 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| C. Terry | 35 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| J. Petrimoulx | 30 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| W. Adams | 26 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Villepigue | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| W. White | 20 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| R. Morgan | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Darger | 13 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| G. Essengue | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nwaelele | 38 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| J. Burtschi | 37 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| A. Hood | 36 | 10-13 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 15 | - |
| M. McCraw | 36 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| J. Frye | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Anderson | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Holum | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| E. Kenzik | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Hood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter