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2006-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 13.4% 86.6% -
Bradley-Terry 48.1% 51.9% -
Margin 46.3% 53.7% +0.8 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% -
Efficiency 23.7% 76.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.6% 69.4% -
Log Adjusted 30.6% 69.4% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +12 (71-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Horner * 40 4-10 2-7 1-2 8 4 1 0 2 11 12 -
A. Haluska * 35 1-6 1-5 0-1 1 1 0 0 2 3 -3 -
M. Henderson * 33 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 6 4 -
G. Brunner * 32 9-15 0-0 9-10 7 2 0 1 0 27 22 -
E. Hansen * 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 6 3 -
T. Freeman 18 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -3 -
D. Thomas 17 0-0 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 3 3 2 -
A. Thompson 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Gorney 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Brown * 38 2-12 2-9 0-2 2 9 0 0 1 6 4 -
R. McBride * 30 4-7 4-5 3-4 0 1 0 0 3 15 6 -
B. Randle * 28 3-4 0-0 7-8 4 1 1 0 1 13 14 -
J. Augustine * 23 4-6 0-0 4-9 7 0 1 0 2 12 12 -
S. Pruitt * 22 4-6 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 0 1 8 8 -
J. Smith 20 1-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 2 -
M. Arnold 17 3-4 0-0 3-4 6 0 1 0 0 9 12 -
W. Carter 11 2-4 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
C. Frazier 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
C. Brock 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Hicks 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter