Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | +0.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +12 (71-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Horner * | 40 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| A. Haluska * | 35 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| M. Henderson * | 33 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| G. Brunner * | 32 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 22 | - |
| E. Hansen * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Freeman | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| D. Thomas | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Thompson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Gorney | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brown * | 38 | 2-12 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| R. McBride * | 30 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| B. Randle * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| J. Augustine * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| S. Pruitt * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Smith | 20 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Arnold | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| W. Carter | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Frazier | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Brock | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Hicks | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter