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2006-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Eastern Washington Eagles Spread Result
Elo 57.5% 42.5% -
Bradley-Terry 43.4% 56.6% -
Margin 35.4% 64.6% +3.3 (30.7 off)
Pythagorean 26.0% 74.0% -
Efficiency 62.2% 37.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.3% 86.7% -
Log Adjusted 13.0% 87.0% -

Actual: Eastern Washington Eagles +34 (87-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Durham 35 3-6 1-3 0-1 1 4 0 0 3 7 3 -
L. Ball 30 4-8 0-1 1-1 6 3 0 0 3 9 7 -
J. Wilson 29 2-8 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 5 -1 -
A. Beye 27 6-10 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 1 1 13 9 -
D. Edmonds 26 3-8 1-3 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 8 3 -
M. Moss 20 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Durr 16 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 3 -
T. Morris 13 2-5 0-0 2-3 0 0 0 1 1 6 1 -
T. Pratt 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Eastern Washington Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Stuckey 33 10-15 5-8 1-2 4 5 3 0 1 26 22 -
D. Smith 32 7-13 3-6 2-2 6 2 2 0 1 19 15 -
M. Penoncello 29 3-5 0-1 1-1 4 3 0 0 1 7 8 -
D. Risper 21 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 2 1 0 0 5 7 -
J. Beitinger 21 4-9 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
P. Butorac 18 4-5 1-1 2-3 2 3 2 2 1 11 14 -
R. Humphrey 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 0 6 -
K. Williams 13 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 0 -1 -
N. Zumwalt 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
H. Bekkering 6 4-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 9 8 -
J. Bright 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter