Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Lafayette Leopards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.5% | 41.5% | -1.9 | ✗ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Lafayette Leopards +7 (73-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.