Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Lafayette Leopards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.5% | 41.5% | -1.9 | ✗ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Lafayette Leopards +7 (73-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mercer | 37 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| A. Ingram | 35 | 8-14 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 14 | - |
| A. Eitutavicius | 24 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5-10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| P. Joneliunas | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Lekavicius | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| T. Lay | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Billbe | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| J. Nichols | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| G. Carr | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| B. Gilmore | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Lewis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Brown | 33 | 2-10 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -2 | - |
| B. Abdullah | 32 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| A. Capusan | 31 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| M. Betley | 30 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| T. Detmer | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| P. Betley | 20 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2 | - |
| E. Schmidt | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| P. Cummins | 15 | 0-7 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| K. Kenny | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter