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2006-02-25

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles Lafayette Leopards Spread Result
Elo 66.4% 33.6% -
Bradley-Terry 51.5% 48.5% -
Margin 47.3% 52.7% +0.6 (6.4 off)
Efficiency 89.2% 10.8% -

Actual: Lafayette Leopards +7 (73-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mercer 37 2-8 1-2 2-2 2 5 2 0 4 7 4 -
A. Ingram 35 8-14 7-11 3-4 5 1 0 0 4 26 14 -
A. Eitutavicius 24 2-4 1-2 5-10 6 1 0 0 4 10 9 -
B. Harris 20 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 6 5 -
L. Lekavicius 20 2-4 0-0 4-5 4 2 3 0 2 8 11 -
T. Lay 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
B. Billbe 19 5-8 0-0 3-4 8 1 0 1 1 13 14 -
J. Nichols 17 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 4 5 -
G. Carr 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
B. Gilmore 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Lewis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Lafayette Leopards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Brown 33 2-10 1-9 0-0 2 3 2 0 4 5 -2 -
B. Abdullah 32 6-11 5-8 4-4 3 2 1 1 3 21 14 -
N. Williams 31 5-12 0-0 7-9 5 3 1 2 1 17 15 -
M. Betley 30 2-4 1-2 1-2 10 1 0 1 1 6 13 -
T. Detmer 21 2-4 0-0 1-2 5 1 3 0 3 5 7 -
C. Robertson-Warren 20 3-10 1-7 1-1 1 0 1 0 2 8 -2 -
E. Schmidt 16 1-5 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 3 2 -
P. Cummins 15 0-7 0-7 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 2 -2 -
K. Kenny 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter