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2006-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Evansville Purple Aces Indiana State Sycamores Spread Result
Elo 22.3% 77.7% -
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% -
Margin 22.0% 78.0% +7.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 49.6% 50.4% -
Efficiency 95.5% 4.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.1% 43.9% -
Log Adjusted 56.0% 44.0% -

Actual: Indiana State Sycamores -2 (75-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Strickland 39 9-11 0-0 2-2 13 1 2 3 4 20 24 -
J. Holsinger 38 4-7 3-5 6-6 3 8 1 0 3 17 19 -
K. Anslinger 37 6-9 4-7 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 18 12 -
M. Webster 25 0-6 0-2 3-4 3 3 0 0 4 3 -1 -
A. Stalbergs 22 3-4 0-0 2-4 7 0 0 0 0 8 11 -
S. Ely 15 2-4 0-0 1-1 0 1 0 0 2 5 0 -
J. Petty 12 2-4 0-1 1-1 1 2 0 0 0 5 4 -
M. Blakey 10 0-4 0-2 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -2 -
C. Phifer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Moss 39 8-18 4-7 2-2 3 5 2 0 1 22 13 -
G. Moore 39 3-11 0-4 0-1 0 6 1 0 2 6 0 -
T. Schnitker 31 6-13 3-6 0-2 1 2 1 0 2 15 4 -
A. Arnold 27 4-4 1-1 1-2 7 1 0 0 1 10 13 -
J. Tunnell 23 3-6 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 1 2 7 4 -
T. Wurtz 22 3-5 0-1 2-3 12 1 0 0 2 8 14 -
E. Gray 11 2-7 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
M. Yelovich 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 1 3 -
E. Booe 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Evans 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter