Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Rice Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.3% | 46.7% | -2.6 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.4% | 60.6% | +2.4 | ✗ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Rice Owls -13 (64-77). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. O'Donnell | 36 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| J. Rose | 35 | 9-11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 24 | - |
| A. Williams | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Peppers | 27 | 8-13 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| A. Gill | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Johnson | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Noel | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jermaine Taylor | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Lindbeck | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Speraw | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Zondervan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Rice Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Moore | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Lorenzo Williams | 33 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| P. Britton | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J.R. Harrison | 28 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Morris Almond | 20 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| P. Packevicius | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Foster | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| G. Killings | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Hagen | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Perka | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Pflieger | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Bridges | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Szalay | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter