Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.0% | 64.0% | +3.2 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos -7 (66-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Slaughter | 40 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 18 | - |
| N. LeSure | 38 | 10-19 | 8-13 | 4-5 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 21 | - |
| K. Spain | 31 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Abukar | 29 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| J. Sharper | 25 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| R. Williams | 25 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Camara | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Hudson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Walters | 40 | 4-17 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| D. Chiotti | 37 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Box | 31 | 8-14 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - |
| K. Collins | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Walter | 18 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| B. Harden | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Danridge | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| D. Prentice | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Toppert | 5 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hart | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter